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Showing posts with label TVIX. Show all posts
Showing posts with label TVIX. Show all posts

Friday, August 7, 2020

Some charts to justify why I'm bearish

Hello traders,

I prefer the bullish side of trading as it is much easier to time market bottoms than market tops. 
We have now reached a price level where I cannot just ignore what charts are foretelling. 

I think we are inn for a second leg down of this recent correction (wave C) and that this should start today or by Monday. This could be a quick correction that ends by this month of August.

Please comment below your view and ideas...
Trade well ;o









 Lots of MEJT targets below, waiting to be filled... lowest at 2768.30 SPX:



Monday, August 3, 2020

Correction

Hi traders,

I had a wrong TD Combo sell count on my last blog post with tiltle " Strong correction into full moon 3 - 4 th of August"
The chart shows there a no. 13 TD Combo but should have been a no. 12.
In fact no. 13 is printing today as I'm posting this.



In fact, TD-combo sell signals are now forming on 4 hr charts and daily charts (observed on SPX and NASDAQ).




VIX touched lower Boolinger Band and should be soon ready for a reaction upwards.
Today we have a full Moon. Notice what happens each time there is a full Moon:






Sunday, June 30, 2019

Bearish Summer Ahead


#SPX weekly chart




The S&P 500 is on worrying triple top pattern and is expected to complete a sell setup following a higher weekly bar close with a higher high above 2964.15. This will result in a double sell signal:





  • TD Countdown sell
  • TD Combo sell




This higher close on weekly bar should complete this week starting July 1th, 2019.





The same triple top pattern is visible also on the Dow Jones industrial average chart. As the middle top is still the higher top, this could be described as Head & Shoulder formation.





#DJI wekkly chart




Nasdaq Composite index is telling the same story on weekly chart, where it is expected a higher closing weekly bar forming a triple top at 8164 level. That would complete the ongoing TD sell countdown (giving a blue no. 13) in addition to the previous TD Combo sell signal from early May (yellow no. 13).





#Nasdaq Composite index weekly chart




A TD countdown sell signal is also triggered on the monthly Russel 2000 chart, this signal would be perfected if we trade and cross 1670.805:





#RUT monthly chart




Volatility index, TVIX is suggesting a lower weekly bar to complete the buy setup, thus confirming the bearish scenario starting from second week of July:





Velocity ondex #TVIX weekly chart




In the following chart, the German index DAX is at triple top resistance area, on a lesser time frame chart this index is also approaching a sell signal:





#DEU30 - German index weekly chart




Notice how all the above mentioned index shows sharp V formed rallies and none of them has yet retested the lows, a common phenomena to be expected based on historical similar chart patterns. In my opinion, that is where the market will return.





Expect a sharp decline for a retest of early June lows and perhaps much lower!





Trade well ;0





👋


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